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Poker – Playing Against The Blinds Part5
Learn to slow down when you have a big overpair and you’re playing against the blinds. If you have QVQ* and the flop is J47*5*, your hand may be good, but it’s not great if the blind bets into you. Except for another queen, there’s almost no card in the deck that I like on the turn or river.
A 54 or 54 gives you two pair, but what if he’s holding J*5* or A45*? How do you know that an ace or a king on the turn doesn’t beat you? Even a harmless looking deuce could make him two pair. Remember, he’s in the blind, so he could have anything.
So what do you do? You should usually just call with an overpair if the blind bets into you and there’s just the two of you in the hand. If there are other players in the hand, then you will sometimes want to raise to thin the field, which will increase your chances of winning the hand.
As a reminder, don’t forget that the entire nature of Texas hold ‘em (and any other poker game) is that it’s a game of concealed information. When the flop is K*7V4t and the big blind bets into you, you can think to yourself, “I’m going to fold my K484, because he’s in the blind, and his kicker could be better than mine. Or he might have two pair, and I just don’t want to play a guessing game and pay him off all the way to the river, never knowing for sure where I stand.”
You can think all that, just don’t say it out loud. The idea of playing differently against the blinds is a little-known concept among lower limit players, so you should want to be the one player in your game to take advantage of it. casinos
Next time you play in your usual hold ‘em game, I want you to keep track of every time you fold a hand on the flop when playing against the blind. We’re interested only in those times when you would have called a bet from a player not in the blind, but did not call simply because the player who bet was in the blind position. After you fold the hand, keep track of how much money you’ve saved yourself.
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Poker – Playing Against The Blinds Part4
A more common situation is when the flop comes and the big blind bets it out first. You're now in a difficult position as a caller, because you don't know why he's betting. Is he betting for value with a good hand, or is he taking a shot at bluffing and stealing the pot? Is he semi-bluffing with a weak, but improvable hand? Are you known as a high-card player, and he's giving you a chance to throw away your K*Q4 when the flop is 6*6*34? You just have to know your players.
My experience has been that the blinds usually do not attempt to bluff on the flop. If they bet first, it's because they have a hand with which they expect to win. You have to keep in mind that what it takes to win the hand depends largely on the flop. If the flop is all low cards, and the blind bets into a large field, he's not bluffing. He expects to win the hand. If the flop is weird-looking, like J*6*24, and the blind bets into you, it's because he usually expects to win the hand.
Over the years, I've developed a strategy for playing against the blinds that has, for me, yielded superior results. It's easy to understand and easy to remember, and you shouldn't have any trouble making it part of your hold 'em strategy also. Here's my rule for playing against the blinds: throw away slightly better than average hands if the blind bets into you on the flop.
Of course, what constitutes an average hand depends on the flop, your cards, your position, how many other players are in the hand, and your estimation of what the preflop action means.
There are several good reasons why this is a profitable strategy for you:
1. You're not going to win every hand after the flop anyway. You'll win only a fraction of the hands you play past the flop, and you will often have to get lucky to win some of those.
2. You have only one bet invested in the hand. It's not that expensive to let it go and wait for a hand where you can be the bettor, and not the caller.
3. You never really know what the blind has, so why play a guessing game? That's not the way to play poker.
4. You'll be calling the blind's bet fewer times than average, and when you do call, the blind will notice it. He will (correctly) put you on a very good hand. Because of that, he'll often check to you on the turn when you call on the flop, thus increasing your chances of winning the hand.
5. You will always have position on the blind, which means that you'll often be able to raise on the turn or river, thereby getting in an extra big bet from the losing hands. This benefit more than makes up for the times when you folded on the flop and forfeited a small bet with an average hand.
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